- Win Rate?
- Total Earnings?
- Winnings Per Bet?
- Winnings Over Time?
The above image is a combined table of NHL (National Hockey League) scores.
As we can see 196 games ended in a 0-0 draw, a further 1,275 games ended 1-0. With a total of 59,799 games recorded, just 1,471 had a score of less than 1.5 goals. This means that just 2.5% of NHL games will statistically finish with less than 1.5 goals.
If you bet on more than 1.5 goals per game in the NHL, then you will (according to probability) have a win rate of around 97.5%.
Unfortunately the bookies already know this, and is why the odds on such a bet would be ridiculously low, possibly as low as 1.01, which means you will bet $100 to earn $1 profit.
To really prove our point, let’s inflate our win rate to 98%. Now consider that you have an initial bankroll of just $100, you then bet consecutively on odds of 1.01. Meaning with each bet, you increase your bankroll by $1. You win your first 98 bets, but lose the last 2, giving a win rate of 98%, good right? Let’s look at the numbers:
|Bet Number||Bet Amount||Bet Odds||Win / Loss||Total|
Even with a win rate of 99% (over time) you will have a NET LOSS of 1% of your bankroll.